The exciting story of the clinical use of imatinib mesylate for the treatment of leukemias driven by the bcr/abl mutation began in the late 1990s and dramatic effectiveness was immediately apparent in all stages of the diseases. Although there was concern that these benefits might not persist, we now know, after almost twenty years of follow up, that a high proportion of chronic phase patients attain deep molecular responses and enjoy an overall survival comparable to that of age-matched controls.1 It was originally expected that lifelong treatment would be needed, but in recent years, trials from around the world have shown that tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) can be successfully discontinued in some patients who have achieved sustained deep molecular responses.32
These were conducted as part of clinical trials at CML research institutions by experienced CML clinicians. In this issue of the Journal, Italian clinicians from a wide range of institutions of the Gruppo Italiano Malattie Ematologiche dell’Adulto (GIMEMA) describe a large group of chronic phase patients who had therapy discontinued, many presumably as a consequence of patients’ requests to doctors, who were now comfortable with the accumulated results.4 With a median follow up of 34 months, 60% of patients remained in what has been termed “treatment-free remission” (TFR),5 a result consistent with or perhaps slightly superior to those from earlier trials. As in other trials, the relapse rate was somewhat lower in patients with longer exposures to TKI and all patients who had molecular relapse were successfully retreated with either their original TKI or were switched to another TKI if their motivation for discontinuation was toxicity; these retreated patients usually achieved the level of their original response.
Most CML patients in the US (and to some extent elsewhere) are not followed in specialty hematology centers. This means that the next question in the TKI saga is whether discontinuation can be managed safely by nonspecialist oncologists. The process is not very difficult to understand and there are few risks if patients are selected and followed appropriately. The criteria for study entry and monitoring differed somewhat amongst the published trials, but a consensus approximation would include:
“Relapse” is defined by loss of MR3 [major molecular response (MMR)], and it is essential to be aware that values can sometimes fluctuate between MR3 and MR4, in part because of the variability of the assay; therefore, at least two values with loss of MMR should be documented before therapy is resumed. This is perhaps the part of the process with the most subtleties, and consultation with CML specialists is sometimes advisable.
The pattern of relapse raises interesting issues about CML biology. Remarkably, despite the inclusion of patients with continuously undetectable transcripts for many years using very sensitive techniques, molecular relapses can be detected within the first 1-2 months of discontinuation. Virtually all relapses occur within the first 6-8 months of cessation, with very few emerging with long-term follow up which is now, in many studies, over five years. The rapidity of relapse in patients attests to the resilience of dormant CML progenitors which are capable of re-emerging almost immediately after the suppressive pressure of the TKI is released; it is a humbling reminder of the difficulties to be faced in eliminating stem cells in other leukemias.
Perhaps even more fascinating is the observation of prolonged remissions lasting for many years. While it is theoretically possible that CML “stem” cells have been eliminated (Figure 1), this would seem unlikely. I am not aware of any studies of bone marrows from patients in long-term TFR evaluating whether bcr/abl positive colonies can be grown in vitro. Interest has been shown in the possibility of immune suppression of remaining bcr/abl precursors, with some focus on the role of T-natural killer (NK) cells,76 perhaps stimulated by observations of a possible salutary effect of proliferation of NK cells after dasatinib treatment.98 Results of these studies have been, at best, inconclusive.
Nonetheless, this remains an interesting hypothesis. I have seen two patients in apparent TFR who experienced molecular relapse after 1-2 years of follow up: the first after chemotherapy for another cancer and the other after prolonged use of corticosteroids for treatment of the TKI “withdrawal” syndrome. Could the relapses have been related to “immunosuppression” from these other treatments? This is speculative at best, but it would be interesting to see if other such patients are identified. Changes in the marrow microenvironment might also play a role in either the continued containment of growth or, alternatively, promote rapid recurrence.
It is also not clear whether late relapses will develop with longer follow up. As illustrated in Figure 1, it is possible that successful TKI therapy reduces the number of CML precursors to the levels found in ‘preclinical’ CML. Little is known about the duration of the ‘incubation’ period after the initial mutagenic event or how long it takes for CML to become clinically identifiable. Perhaps the most relevant data come from observations after the atomic bomb events in Japan where the incidence of CML peaked at a median of ten years but continued at an increased rate for years thereafter.10 These findings have implications about the frequency or even the necessity of long-term PCR monitoring of patients in long-term remission. I have adopted a non-data-driven approach and continue testing approximately every six months after three years of undetectable transcripts. However, we urgently need further information about this.
It is also important to appreciate that only a minority of chronic phase patients can achieve long-term TFR. Most treatment trials describe the rates of molecular response using cumulative incidence analyses, meaning that a patient achieved that level of response at least once. It is more difficult, however, to identify the rates of sustained response, a requirement for considering stopping. In the imatinib-based German CML IV and IRIS trials (the two largest studies with long-term follow up), the rate of MR 4.5 was approximately 50% at five years and >60% at ten years, respectively, although these estimates were not based on the “intent to treat” population1211 and only included patients for whom data were available at these time points.
Using a somewhat generous estimate of 40% sustained MR4.5 in newly diagnosed chronic phase patients, and a relapse rate of 50%, only approximately 20% of patients will successfully achieve TFR. Calculations may differ somewhat using continuous MR4 as the eligibility cutoff or if patients were treated initially with second-generation TKI which produce higher response rates. Nonetheless, the reality is that the large majority of patients will require life-long treatment, and even those who stop successfully would have required many years of treatment prior to a trial of cessation. Therefore, optimal CML treatment will continue to depend on the skills of physicians familiar with ameliorating the side effects of therapy and health systems that deal more effectively with the costs of this chronic treatment.
And this raises the question of whether all patients require the “standard” dose to maintain response or if many of the benefits of stopping, such as reduced side effects and costs, can be achieved with lower doses. Again, data are fragmentary, but many clinical trials and observational studies report that a significant proportion of patients are maintained long term on lower than the initial “standard” doses of TKI.1413 A recent pilot trial in newly diagnosed patients demonstrated what appear to be identical response rates with less toxicity, using 50 mg of dasatinib versus the standard 100 mg dose.15 Indeed, based on these data, I have been decreasing the dasatinib dose to 50 mg in patients with stable high-grade responses on 100 mg with no evidence of loss of benefit in approximately a dozen patients.16
Perhaps the most systematic data come from the UK DESTINY trial in which patients eligible for consideration for a TFR trial had their doses reduced by 50% for one year before drug discontinuation.17 Two per cent of patients who entered the trial with levels of MR4 lost MMR during the first year, while only 18% of those who began with sustained MR3 lost MMR within the year. It is not known how patients would have fared long term on the lower dose since they went on to the TFR portion of the study. Those who “relapsed” within the first year had therapy restarted, but it is possible that that may not have always been necessary. In fact, a recent modeling exercise using data from large clinical trials suggests that the rise in transcript numbers after dose reduction can be transient in many patients, and that MMR response might have recovered without increasing the dose.18 It is, therefore, clear that a substantial number of patients can do well with lower doses of TKI, but prospective trials addressing this question would be welcomed.
To conclude, the report from the GIMEMA group confirms that TFR can be achieved in routine clinical practice and indicates that discontinuation be considered in appropriately selected patients outside the clinical trial setting.4 The relapse rate has been consistently in the 50% range in all trials, and future research should focus on the mechanisms by which recurrence is suppressed in the hope that new approaches, possibly immunomodulatory, can improve these results. In addition, patients should continue to be monitored to assess whether very late relapses develop.
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